Collect
Fixtures, team form, lineups and event data
How the model works
A transparent view of our data pipeline, signal weighting and verified performance.
Live modelUpdated 6 min ago
Verified 30-day accuracy80.4%+3.2%
3,280Predictions evaluated
0.91Calibration score
Prediction pipeline
v4.8Normalise
Clean and align inputs across competitions
Model
Ensemble probability and scenario simulation
Review
Automated checks plus expert oversight
Current factor weights
Chance quality92%
Team strength84%
Squad availability76%
Schedule context68%
Venue effect61%
Performance by league
LeaguePredictionsAccuracy
Premier League74282.1%
La Liga68180.7%
Serie A65479.8%
Bundesliga60881.3%
Ligue 159578.9%
Responsible prediction
No model can guarantee an outcome. Confidence measures signal strength, not certainty, and every published result remains in our historical record.